6月27日(金)Elizaveta Kugaevskaia氏 (早稲田大学) のセミナーを開催いたします。NEW
日時:6月27日(金)17:20-18:50
報告者: Elizaveta Kugaevskaia (早稲田大学)
場所:2号館11階経済学部会議室B
幹事:長谷部 拓也
言語:英語
タイトル:Religious Persuasion and Electoral Backlash: Evidence from Church Expansion
要旨:This paper investigates how political messaging delivered through religious institutions influences voting behavior. I leverage the case of post-communist Russia, where a sharp increase in church construction followed the end of state-imposed religious restrictions. Using a newly assembled panel dataset of church locations and founding years dating back to the 11th century, I exploit spatial and temporal variation in exposure to churches within a difference-in-differences framework. The results show that an increase in the number of churches in a city reduces the vote share of the incumbent party aligned with the church by approximately six percentage points, with half of the shift favoring the communist party. Voter turnout remains stable, suggesting that former ruling party supporters may respond to its ties with the church by voting for the opposition.